Excerpted with permission from Costs of Occupational Injuries and
Illnesses (University of Michigan Press, 2000).
I. Introduction
Most Americans between the ages of 22 and 65 spend 40 to
50 percent of waking hours at work. Every year millions of Americans suffer
injuries and thousands experience deaths in our workplaces. Yet little effort
has been made to estimate either the extent of these injuries, deaths, and
diseases or their cost to the economy. Thus, important questions about workplace
safety and the economic resources expended due to workplace health problems
remain unanswered. In this study, we address these questions by presenting
estimates of the incidence, prevalence, and costs of workplace-related injuries,
illnesses, and deaths for the entire civilian workforce of the United States in
1992. We also consider controversies surrounding cost methodologies, estimate
how these costs are distributed across occupations, consider who pays the costs,
and address some policy issues.
Our major findings are as follows.
Roughly 6,371 job-related injury deaths, 13.3 million
nonfatal injuries, 60,300 disease deaths, and 1,184,000 illnesses occurred
in the U.S. workplace in 1992 (see table 1.1).
The total direct and indirect costs associated with
these injuries and illnesses were estimated to be $155.5 billion, or nearly
3 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).
Direct costs included medical expenses for hospitals,
physicians, and drugs, as well as health insurance administration costs, and
were estimated to be $51.8 billion.
The indirect costs included loss of wages, costs of
fringe benefits, and loss of home production (e.g., child care provided by
parent and home repairs), as well as employer retraining and workplace
disruption costs, and were estimated to be $103.7 billion.
Injuries generated roughly 85 percent whereas diseases
generated 15 percent of all costs.
These costs are large when compared to those for other
diseases. The costs are roughly five times the costs for AIDS, three times
the costs for Alzheimer's disease, more than the costs of arthritis, nearly
as great as the costs for cancer, and roughly 82 percent of the costs of all
circulatory (heart and stroke) diseases.
Workers' compensation covered roughly 27 percent of all
costs. Taxpayers paid approximately 18 percent of these costs through
contributions to Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security.
Costs were borne by injured workers and their families,
by all other workers through lower wages, by firms through lower profits,
and by consumers through higher prices.
Our study appears to be the first to use national data
to produce estimates on costs for occupational injuries and illnesses. Prior
studies have underestimated costs by ignoring nondisabling injuries, deaths,
and workplace violence, by taking inadequate account of diseases, and, most
importantly, by relying on only one or two sources of data.
The Annual Survey of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
provides the most reliable and comprehensive data on nonfatal injuries.
However, it misses roughly 53 percent of job-related injuries. This
omission, in part, is due to the exclusion of government employees and the
self-employed and also, in part, due to illegal underreporting by private
firms.
Contrary to the Annual Survey data, we find small firms
have exceptionally high injury rates.
Occupations contributing the most to costs included
truck drivers, laborers, janitors, nursing orderlies, assemblers, and
carpenters. On a per capita basis, lumberjacks, laborers, millwrights,
prison guards, and meatcutters contributed the most to costs.
Occupations at highest risk for carpal tunnel syndrome
include dental hygienists, meatcutters, sewing machine operators, and
assemblers. Among well-paid professions, dentists face the highest risks.
Any of the major sources of data, such as the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health,
workers' compensation systems, or National Health Interview Survey, by
themselves underestimate the numbers of injuries and illnesses.
Greater efforts need to be directed toward gathering
data on job-related injuries and illnesses. The United States needs a
comprehensive data bank for fatal and nonfatal injuries and all illnesses.
Future researchers should not have to investigate the over 20 sources of
primary data and 300 sources of secondary data that we investigated.
TABLE 1.1 Number and Costs of Injuries and
Illnesses in 1992
Costs (in $billions)
Category
Number
Totala
Direct
Indirect
Injuries
13,343,000
132.8
38.4
94.3
-- Deaths
6,371
3.9
0.2
3.7
-- Nonfatal
13,337,000
128.9
38.2
90.6
Illnessesb
22.8
13.4
9.4
-- Deaths
60,290
15.1
8.8
6.3
-- Morbidity
1,184,000
7.7
4.6
3.1
Source: Current study.
aMay not sum due to rounding.
bThe number of deaths and morbidity for
illnesses cannot be summed precisely.
These costs are great, but the reason for their size is no
mystery. Roughly 120 million of us worked in 1992. Every job carries some risks
(Leigh 1995a). Many of us are exposed to job-related safety risks of traffic
accidents, falls, murder, electrocution, fire, being struck by objects,
explosion, heat, cold, animal attacks, and airplane crashes, as well as health
risks from radiation, asbestos, silica, benzene, coal dust, tuberculosis,
secondhand smoke, carbon monoxide, pesticides, benzidine, arsenic, lead,
chromium, and stress.
The estimates are the result of an exhaustive compilation
of data from a variety of sources. Chapters 2 through 6 present a detailed
account of our methodology and estimates. In developing the estimates, we most
frequently selected conservative rather than generous assumptions. The
assumptions with greatest consequences are listed in appendix B for chapter 10.
Here we mention four. First, with 7.4 percent of the workforce unemployed, 1992
was a high unemployment year. When fewer people are employed, fewer job-related
injuries and diseases occur. Second, we did not account for health effects of
occupational injuries and illnesses on the relatives of victims, or, more
importantly, for the cost of caregivers' time and energy (Arno, Levine, and
Memmott 1999). After a serious injury or disease, someone in the family
frequently provides care. Third, we restricted job-related circulatory
disease deaths to people under 65 years old. It could be argued that jobs have a
cumulative effect on circulatory disease that becomes evident only during
retirement. Finally, our Human Capital method of estimating costs ignored costs
of pain and suffering. These costs would add at least an additional $350 billion
to our overall $155.5 billion estimate. ...
II. Number of Injuries
Major general findings are listed in the following.
We estimate that 6,371 deaths and 13.34 million new
nonfatal injuries occurred in 1992.
Disabling injuries accounted for 5.326 million of these
injuries, and nondisabling injuries accounted for 8.011 million. Disabling
means that the injury resulted in at least one day of work loss, whereas
nondisabling means no full days of work loss.
Within the disabling category, there are several
subcategories. We relied on the workers' compensation (WC) categories:
Permanent Total (PT), Permanent Partial (PP), and Temporary Total and
Partial (TTP). We estimated 12,124 PTs, 741,000 PPs, and 1,947,000 TTPs.
No one source of data is sufficient to estimate deaths
or nonfatal injuries. The National Safety Council omitted violent acts. The
Rand study by Hensler et al. (1991) omitted deaths. The National Traumatic
Occupational Fatality Study relied solely on death certificates. The Census
of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI) may have resulted in an undercount
because of the strict two source requirement. The BLS's Annual Survey
underestimated injuries from small firms. All other sources had additional
problems.
Econometric time-series models using the National
Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data as well as NHIS data on black/white
injury rates suggest that the NHIS data may not be as reliable as is
commonly believed.
Workers' compensation records underestimate the number
of injuries by 55 percent.
The most important findings involving socioeconomic and
geographic characteristics are listed in the following.
Disabling injuries are strongly correlated with job
experience. New employees, regardless of age, experience a high and
disproportionate number of injuries.
Men are more likely than women to sustain a work
injury. This is especially true for an injury resulting in death The
nonfatal injury ratio for men to women is nearly 2:1, whereas the fatal
injury ratio is about 11:1.
Blacks and Hispanics experience greater injury rates
than non-Hispanic whites.
In 1992, the CFOI and the NHIS underestimate injuries
experienced by blacks.
The self-employed, persons employed in small firms, and
persons over age 65 are at high risk for sustaining an injury death.
Laborers, truck drivers, and taxi drivers generate
among the highest death rates of all occupations.
Mining, farming, and construction are the industries
with the highest rates of fatal and nonfatal injuries.
Murder is the most likely cause of death for business
executives and sales workers.
Operators and laborers generate the greatest numbers of
deaths and nonfatal injuries among all broad occupation groups.
Laborers, truck drivers, nursing aides, janitors,
assemblers, stock handlers, and cashiers generate the most disabling
injuries among detailed occupations.
Being at work is not safer than being at home. People
who work are more likely to be injured at work than at home. This is
especially true for men. Moreover, work-related injuries are more likely to
result in hospitalizations than injuries originating outside of work.
The most important findings pertaining to types of injuries
are listed in the following.
Injuries to the back generate the highest frequency of
disabling injuries.
Recall bias on questions asking for incidents dating
back 12 months may result in a serious undercount of nondisabling injuries.
Transportation accidents involving highway vehicles,
industrial vehicles, and aircraft boats and railroads contribute to 40
percent of injury deaths. Transportation accidents have frequently been
ignored by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA).
Assaults and violent acts contribute another 20 percent
of injury deaths. These, too, have frequently been ignored by OSHA.
Transportation accidents, assaults, and violent acts
comprise a smaller share of nonfatal injuries than fatal injuries. Assaults
and violent acts are more likely to be fatal than most other injuries at
work.
The numbers of deaths and nonfatal injuries were estimated
after considering five primary sources and four secondary sources. The primary
sources included the BLS Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI), the BLS
Annual Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses (Annual Survey), the
Ultimate Reports of the National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI), the
National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), the National Traumatic Occupational
Fatalities Study (NTOF), and the BLS's Supplementary Data System. Secondary
sources included studies by Hensler et al. (1991), Rossman, Miller, and Douglas
(1991), Miller (1994), and the National Safety Council (1992, 1993). These data
have strengths and weaknesses. The BLS's CFOI and Annual Survey data were
regarded as the best data, and our estimates were ultimately derived only from
them. ...
V. Costs of Injuries
Direct costs comprise 29 percent, and indirect costs 71
percent, of total injury costs.
Within the direct cost category, medical only costs are
roughly $26 billion (68 percent), medical insurance administration costs are
$5.5 billion (14 percent), and indemnity insurance administration costs are
$6.8 billion (18 percent).
Within the indirect cost category, lost earnings summed
to $67 billion (71 percent); fringe benefits, $15.7 billion (17 percent);
home production, $9.3 billion (10 percent); and workplace training,
restaffing, and disruption, $2.2 billion (2 percent).
Fatality costs comprised only roughly 3 percent of the
total. Sensitivity analysis that would have altered interest rates for
present value calculations would not have appreciably affected our results.
Insurance administration costs have frequently been
omitted from prior cost studies. This is a mistake. Insurance administration
costs (for both medical and indemnity insurance) are significant, comprising
32 percent of direct costs.
Estimation of the costs of injuries required multiplying
the number of injuries in each category by the average costs of such injuries.
Direct average costs for medical care were drawn from the National Council on
Compensation Insurance Ultimate Reports. Lifetime medical costs (1992 dollars)
for deaths were valued at $17,226; for Permanent Total at $113,372; for
Permanent Partial at $15,342; for Temporary Total and Partial at $2,782; and for
no work loss at $294. The medical expenses were drawn from workers' compensation
accounts and did not require adjustment for charges versus payments since
workers' compensation paid virtually 100 percent of medical bills in 1992; that
is, very few co-payments or deductibles were charged to clients.
The calculation of the indirect costs was based on a
variety of sources, including National Council's indemnity data and federal
government data on employment, earnings, and mortality. Home production costs,
as well as hiring, training, and workplace disruption costs, were priced in
accord with estimates in the literature. Indirect costs for fatalities required
a present value calculation. We assumed that persons who died would have earned
what others of the same age and gender earned. The distribution of deaths by age
and sex was estimated with information from the CFOI. These age and sex data
were combined with information on wages and on probabilities of survival to age
75, as well as on the employment within those categories.
The National Council figures also provided us with
indemnity benefits that were used to estimate wage loss. The indemnity benefits
themselves were not added to wage losses. The indemnity benefits were adjusted
assuming workers' compensation paid to clients the following rates: 40 percent
of pretax wages for Permanent Total conditions; 50 percent for Permanent Partial
conditions; and 60 percent for Temporary Total and Partial conditions. Fringe
benefits were assumed to be 23 percent of the pretax wages for men and women
combined.
Insurance administration costs were assumed to be 31
percent for workers' compensation and 15 percent for all others. ...
VII. Workers' Compensation Costs across Occupations
The public is frequently misinformed about job hazards.
Most of the high cost per person jobs, such as production helpers, laborers,
janitors, nursing orderlies, sales workers who drive on the job, truck
drivers, polishing machine operators, kitchen machine operators, assemblers,
and others, are not generally regarded as dangerous by the public.
Many of the most costly occupations are not well
described by U.S. Census categories but appear to occupy the lowest status
categories, for example, laborers, miscellaneous machine operators, freight
handlers (not elsewhere classified), production helpers, construction
helpers, and miscellaneous food preparation occupations.
The cost per person lists reinforce the view that the
most hazardous jobs enjoy the least pay. Occupations within the laborer and
operative categories receive the lowest pay of all occupation groups but
generate among the highest costs.
Jobs that are high on both the total and per person
cost lists include truck drivers, laborers (inside and outside of
construction), janitors and cleaners, nurses aides, assemblers, carpenters,
miscellaneous food preparation occupations, timber cutters, electricians,
welders, bus drivers, police officers, and firefighters. Jobs that are high
on both lists should be candidates for greater attention from occupational
safety and health regulators and researchers.
This chapter uses exclusively workers' compensation (WC)
data to rank occupations by costs. Data were drawn from a large national
representative BLS data set -- the Supplementary Data System. Information was
obtained on occupations and WC category of injury and illness and was then
matched to information on costs. Six broad occupations were ranked by total
costs. Six broad and 223 specific occupations were ranked by costs per person
(average costs). Unlike cost data in all other analyses of the book, these
rankings applied to 1985 and 1986, not 1992.
VIII. Who Pays?
Using the nominal payment method, we found that injured
or ill workers and their families absorbed about 44 percent of the costs.
Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and other government accounts
contributed 18 percent, or roughly $28.5 billion.
Using the incidence payment method, we found employers
absorbing some noninjury costs in terms of lower profits, consumers
absorbing some in terms of higher prices, and all workers absorbing some in
terms of lower wages.
There are two methods for assessing who pays, the nominal
method and the incidence method. The nominal method considers who writes the
check. The incidence method uses economic theory to assess the burden. For
example, the business owner writes the WC premium payment check to the insurance
company. But the owner may try to pass on the cost of that premium to the
consumer in terms of higher prices. There is considerable controversy
surrounding how much employers, consumers, and workers pay in the incidence
method, however. We therefore prefer the nominal over the incidence method for
assessing the cost burden of job-related injuries and illnesses.
IX. Policy and Cost Comparisons
One policy option would be to provide more information
to workers pertaining to the hazards of their jobs. A report card could be
prepared by the BLS that would rank and compare occupations and industries
across the United States. The report card could be attached to every job
application form.
We suggest that a general occupational injury and
illness tax be levied on all employers to pay for the substantial amount of
costs that is currently being shifted to taxpayers and the general public.
This tax could be modeled on the Federal Black Lung Trust fund that taxes
all coal companies on a per tonnage amount to pay for the medical costs of
pneumoconioses. Taxes would vary by industry based upon that industry's
contribution to circulatory diseases, cancer, and so on.
We argue for more and heavier fines on firms that
willfully underreport injuries to the BLS.
The effect generous WC benefits has had on encouraging
injuries is likely to be small.
Small firms are treated gingerly by OSHA. They should
not be since they have the highest injury and illness rates of all firms.
The methods introduced in this chapter pertain to the
economic laws of diminishing returns and increasing opportunity costs. Put
simply, the last, say, 5 percent of heart disease spending could be reallocated
to occupational injury and illness spending with the result being a substantial
net gain in lives saved and illnesses and injuries prevented.
X. Limitations and Assumptions
The dollar amount of fraudulent WC claims submitted by
workers pales in comparison to the amount for claims never filed and, more
importantly, the overall small amount of total costs paid by WC systems.
Moreover, fraud committed by insurance companies at workers' expense is
likely to be significant.
We list 31 critical assumptions: 25 result in a smaller
estimate than otherwise would obtain; two result in a higher estimate; the
bias on the remaining four is unknown.
Human Capital costs can be viewed as measuring overall
health and are strongly proportional to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).
Many episodes of occupational injuries also involved
innocent bystanders. For example, a single pilot death may be associated
with scores of deaths to passengers. We estimated 218 deaths and 68,000
nonfatal injuries to innocent bystanders in 1992. The total costs of deaths
and injuries to bystanders were $2.9132 billion.
XI. Conclusion
Our study attempted to estimate the total costs of
occupational injuries and illnesses to the United States in 1992. This study
appears to be the first to use national data to estimate these costs.1
We find that the costs of occupational injuries and illnesses are considerable,
surpassing those of AIDS and nearly as great as those of cancer and heart
disease. Potential victims include any one of the roughly 120 million Americans
who work for a living. Since the injuries and illnesses occur at places of
business, some of their costs are spread to consumers in the form of higher
prices throughout the economy, all workers in the form of lower wages, and
taxpayers. But despite the size of these costs and the fact that so many people
pay them, occupational injuries and illnesses do not receive the attention they
deserve (Rosenstock 1981). By almost any measure, AIDS, arthiritis, Alzheimer's
disease, cancer, and heart disease receive far more attention than occupational
injuries and illnesses.2 In the course of four
years of medical training, the typical U.S. doctor receives six hours of
instruction in occupational safety and health. The national debate on medical
care rarely addresses occupational safety and health issues. This is
unfortunate. The potential for cost savings from prevention of occupational
injuries and illnesses appears to be significant. ...
Footnotes
1. An early
summary of some of our findings was published in the medical literature (Leigh
et al. 1997). We received numerous ideas for improvements. As a result, the
numbers in the book do not precisely coincide with those in the 1997 study. We
prefer our estimates here. These cost estimates are within 10 percent of those
from the 1997 summary study. The counts of illnesses and injuries are within 1
percent of those from the 1997 summary paper. The greatest differences between
the summary study and this one include these: The summary study included
property damage ($9 billion), police and fire protection ($1 billion), and costs
to innocent bystanders ($3 billion). None of these are included here.
2. The National
Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) receives one of the lowest
levels of funding for the nearly 20 National Institutes of Health and related
agencies in the Centers for Disease Control. NIOSH research awards sum to
roughly one-half of 1 percent of the National Cancer Institute (NCI), less than
1 percent of the National Institute on Aging (NIA), and roughly 7 percent of the
National Institute on Dental Research (U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services 1992). (There is some overlap between NCI and NIOSH spending. For
example, some portion of any NCI spending on bladder cancer would likely have
some benefit to a person who developed bladder cancer as a result of job-related
exposures. But, in general, the overlap for NCI or NIA or any other institutions
is not likely to be large. Among specialists within these fields, few focus on
occupational factors. Moreover, if occupation is the focus of a grant proposal
to the NIH, reviewers will generally send that grant to NIOSH, regardless of the
specific disease being investigated. Finally, 85 percent of our costs arise from
injuries, not illnesses.) Moreover, no private charities are available to fund
research on occupational injuries and illnesses. By contrast, heart disease has
the American Heart Association, cancer has the American Cancer Society, AIDS has
the Ryan White Institute, and arthritis has the Arthritis Institute.
None of the federal government's flagship health statistics publications Advanced
Data series on either injury-related data visits (Schapport 1994), or on
hospitalizations (Hall and Owings 1994), or on emergency room visits (Burt 1995)
include any categories for occupational injuries.
As another example of the lack of resources for occupations injuries and
illnesses, it is notable that there are more fish and game inspectors in the
United States than OSHA inspectors (McGarity and Shapiro 1993, 213).